Insights / kr
000270
기아KR05/10/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.78%
P05–P95 span
30.83%
Neighbors
14
Sharpness
0.38
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-2.00%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
3/10(30%)
Below median
7/10(70%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -16.51%P25: -3.10%P50: 1.78%P75: 8.23%P95: 14.31%
Computed at: 05/10/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 13.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.