Insights / kr
000270
기아KR05/07/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.60%
P05–P95 span
18.92%
Neighbors
16
Sharpness
0.62
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+3.13%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -10.12%P25: -4.74%P50: -0.60%P75: 2.96%P95: 8.80%
Computed at: 05/07/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 15.2 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.