000270

기아KR04/28/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+0.58%
P05–P95 span
15.01%
Neighbors
9
Sharpness
0.70
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+6.80%
Outer 90%
5/10(50%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
7/10(70%)
Below median
3/10(30%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -8.93%P25: -2.06%P50: 0.58%P75: 2.50%P95: 6.08%

Computed at: 04/28/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 8.4 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.