000270

기아KR04/27/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+1.29%
P05–P95 span
17.04%
Neighbors
15
Sharpness
0.66
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+16.48%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
7/10(70%)
Below median
3/10(30%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -4.77%P25: -0.96%P50: 1.29%P75: 3.07%P95: 12.26%

Computed at: 04/27/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 14.3 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.