Insights / kr
000150
두산KR06/08/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.17%
P05–P95 span
27.97%
Neighbors
6
Sharpness
0.44
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
2 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+2
-3.97%
Outer 90%
0/2(0%)
Middle 50%
0/2(0%)
Above median
0/2(0%)
Below median
2/2(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -10.57%P25: -3.72%P50: -0.17%P75: 4.56%P95: 17.40%
Computed at: 06/08/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 5.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.