Insights / kr

000150

두산KR06/07/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

← 2026-06-054 / 402026-06-09 →
Jump to latest →
Median move
-0.87%
P05–P95 span
21.92%
Neighbors
10
Sharpness
0.56
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
3 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+3
+3.91%
Outer 90%
2/3(67%)
Middle 50%
0/3(0%)
Above median
3/3(100%)
Below median
0/3(0%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -11.06%P25: -3.62%P50: -0.87%P75: 1.29%P95: 10.85%

Computed at: 06/07/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 9.9 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.