Insights / us
YUM
Yum! Brands, Inc.US06/03/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.32%
P05–P95 span
16.68%
Neighbors
22
Sharpness
0.67
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
5 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+5
+2.18%
Outer 90%
5/5(100%)
Middle 50%
4/5(80%)
Above median
3/5(60%)
Below median
2/5(40%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.62%P25: -2.36%P50: -0.32%P75: 2.49%P95: 8.07%
Computed at: 06/04/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 21.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.