Insights / us
XYZ
Block, Inc.US05/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.11%
P05–P95 span
12.48%
Neighbors
31
Sharpness
0.75
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
9 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+9
-7.84%
Outer 90%
4/9(44%)
Middle 50%
0/9(0%)
Above median
1/9(11%)
Below median
8/9(89%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.31%P25: -1.69%P50: 0.11%P75: 1.69%P95: 5.18%
Computed at: 05/29/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 30.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.