Insights / us
XEL
Xcel Energy Inc.US04/26/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.12%
P05–P95 span
8.21%
Neighbors
14
Sharpness
0.84
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+1.58%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.77%P25: -1.41%P50: 0.12%P75: 1.61%P95: 3.44%
Computed at: 04/27/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 13.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.