Insights / us
WTW
Willis Towers Watson Public Limited CompanyUS06/01/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.21%
P05–P95 span
16.49%
Neighbors
32
Sharpness
0.67
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
7 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+7
+1.80%
Outer 90%
6/7(86%)
Middle 50%
6/7(86%)
Above median
5/7(71%)
Below median
2/7(29%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.35%P25: -1.86%P50: 1.21%P75: 4.46%P95: 11.14%
Computed at: 06/02/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 31.1 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.