Insights / us
WTW
Willis Towers Watson Public Limited CompanyUS05/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.58%
P05–P95 span
13.48%
Neighbors
33
Sharpness
0.73
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
9 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+9
+4.01%
Outer 90%
7/9(78%)
Middle 50%
1/9(11%)
Above median
9/9(100%)
Below median
0/9(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.86%P25: -2.82%P50: -0.58%P75: 1.32%P95: 4.62%
Computed at: 05/29/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 32.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.