WSM

Williams-Sonoma, Inc.US05/31/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+2.28%
P05–P95 span
12.66%
Neighbors
33
Sharpness
0.75
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
8 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+8
+8.57%
Outer 90%
8/8(100%)
Middle 50%
5/8(63%)
Above median
6/8(75%)
Below median
2/8(25%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -4.01%P25: 0.22%P50: 2.28%P75: 5.59%P95: 8.65%

Computed at: 06/01/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 32.5 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.