Insights / us
WRB
W. R. Berkley CorporationUS05/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.84%
P05–P95 span
10.27%
Neighbors
33
Sharpness
0.79
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
9 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+9
+5.53%
Outer 90%
8/9(89%)
Middle 50%
2/9(22%)
Above median
9/9(100%)
Below median
0/9(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.20%P25: -0.75%P50: 0.84%P75: 2.54%P95: 6.07%
Computed at: 05/29/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 32.3 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.