Insights / us
WMB
The Williams Companies, Inc.US04/05/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-2.60%
P05–P95 span
13.70%
Neighbors
23
Sharpness
0.73
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-1.76%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
10/10(100%)
Below median
0/10(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -10.23%P25: -4.90%P50: -2.60%P75: -0.13%P95: 3.47%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 03:49 AM · ESS 22.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.