Insights / us
VRTX
Vertex Pharmaceuticals IncorporatedUS05/31/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.18%
P05–P95 span
15.78%
Neighbors
23
Sharpness
0.68
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
8 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+8
+1.17%
Outer 90%
7/8(88%)
Middle 50%
6/8(75%)
Above median
2/8(25%)
Below median
6/8(75%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.50%P25: -1.09%P50: 1.18%P75: 4.07%P95: 9.27%
Computed at: 06/01/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 22.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.