Insights / us
VRTX
Vertex Pharmaceuticals IncorporatedUS04/05/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.30%
P05–P95 span
10.84%
Neighbors
39
Sharpness
0.78
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+0.32%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
5/10(50%)
Below median
5/10(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.67%P25: -2.06%P50: -0.30%P75: 1.89%P95: 5.17%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 03:49 AM · ESS 38.1 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.