Insights / us
VMC
Vulcan Materials CompanyUS06/01/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+2.22%
P05–P95 span
15.19%
Neighbors
37
Sharpness
0.70
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
7 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+7
+0.60%
Outer 90%
6/7(86%)
Middle 50%
5/7(71%)
Above median
1/7(14%)
Below median
6/7(86%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.23%P25: -0.08%P50: 2.22%P75: 6.06%P95: 11.96%
Computed at: 06/02/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 36.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.