Insights / us
VMC
Vulcan Materials CompanyUS05/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.33%
P05–P95 span
18.42%
Neighbors
36
Sharpness
0.63
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
9 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+9
+1.17%
Outer 90%
9/9(100%)
Middle 50%
4/9(44%)
Above median
7/9(78%)
Below median
2/9(22%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -13.68%P25: -3.35%P50: -0.33%P75: 1.41%P95: 4.74%
Computed at: 05/29/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 35.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.