Insights / us
VMC
Vulcan Materials CompanyUS05/20/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.19%
P05–P95 span
11.74%
Neighbors
15
Sharpness
0.77
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+8.34%
Outer 90%
4/10(40%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
10/10(100%)
Below median
0/10(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.28%P25: -2.09%P50: -0.19%P75: 3.32%P95: 7.46%
Computed at: 05/21/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 14.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.