Insights / us
VMC
Vulcan Materials CompanyUS05/18/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.08%
P05–P95 span
13.57%
Neighbors
21
Sharpness
0.73
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+7.68%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
7/10(70%)
Below median
3/10(30%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.28%P25: -1.54%P50: 0.08%P75: 2.58%P95: 7.30%
Computed at: 05/19/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 20.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.