VLO

Valero Energy CorporationUS05/20/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move

+0.63%

P05–P95 span

12.98%

Neighbors

Sharpness

0.74

Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)

10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices

Realized @ D+10

+0.16%

Outer 90%

6/10(60%)

Middle 50%

4/10(40%)

Above median

0/10(0%)

Below median

10/10(100%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -4.68%P25: -0.90%P50: 0.63%P75: 3.43%P95: 8.30%

Computed at: 05/21/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 35.3 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.