Insights / us
VICI
VICI Properties Inc.US04/05/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.11%
P05–P95 span
17.30%
Neighbors
16
Sharpness
0.65
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+4.39%
Outer 90%
5/10(50%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
10/10(100%)
Below median
0/10(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -15.53%P25: -3.47%P50: -1.11%P75: 0.41%P95: 1.77%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 03:49 AM · ESS 15.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.