Insights / us
V
Visa Inc.US04/23/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.29%
P05–P95 span
9.20%
Neighbors
26
Sharpness
0.82
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+3.81%
Outer 90%
6/10(60%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
10/10(100%)
Below median
0/10(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.33%P25: -0.42%P50: 1.29%P75: 3.89%P95: 5.86%
Computed at: 04/24/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 25.2 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.