Insights / us
URI
United Rentals, Inc.US04/05/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.02%
P05–P95 span
13.66%
Neighbors
26
Sharpness
0.73
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+11.14%
Outer 90%
5/10(50%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
10/10(100%)
Below median
0/10(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.81%P25: -1.69%P50: 0.02%P75: 2.11%P95: 5.85%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 03:49 AM · ESS 25.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.