Insights / us
UNH
UnitedHealth Group IncorporatedUS06/03/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+2.82%
P05–P95 span
17.76%
Neighbors
22
Sharpness
0.64
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
5 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+5
+3.99%
Outer 90%
5/5(100%)
Middle 50%
2/5(40%)
Above median
5/5(100%)
Below median
0/5(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.16%P25: 0.56%P50: 2.82%P75: 5.96%P95: 11.59%
Computed at: 06/04/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 21.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.