Insights / us
UNH
UnitedHealth Group IncorporatedUS05/19/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.42%
P05–P95 span
15.89%
Neighbors
30
Sharpness
0.68
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+1.78%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
7/10(70%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.26%P25: -2.60%P50: -0.42%P75: 1.39%P95: 8.63%
Computed at: 05/20/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 29.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.