ULTA

Ulta Beauty, Inc.US06/03/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move

+0.63%

P05–P95 span

9.55%

Neighbors

Sharpness

0.81

Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)

5 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices

Realized @ D+5

-0.45%

Outer 90%

4/5(80%)

Middle 50%

2/5(40%)

Above median

0/5(0%)

Below median

5/5(100%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -4.28%P25: -1.48%P50: 0.63%P75: 2.59%P95: 5.27%

Computed at: 06/04/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 20.5 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.