Insights / us
UHS
Universal Health Services, Inc.US04/08/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.04%
P05–P95 span
9.24%
Neighbors
37
Sharpness
0.82
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-2.23%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
7/10(70%)
Above median
1/10(10%)
Below median
9/10(90%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.47%P25: -3.19%P50: -1.04%P75: 0.31%P95: 2.78%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:47 AM · ESS 36.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.