Insights / us
UDR
UDR, Inc.US05/21/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.21%
P05–P95 span
15.16%
Neighbors
31
Sharpness
0.70
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+2.55%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
5/10(50%)
Below median
5/10(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.92%P25: -2.05%P50: -0.21%P75: 2.26%P95: 7.24%
Computed at: 05/22/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 30.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.