Insights / us
UDR
UDR, Inc.US04/13/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.31%
P05–P95 span
10.95%
Neighbors
19
Sharpness
0.78
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+5.51%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
5/10(50%)
Below median
5/10(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.12%P25: -0.44%P50: 1.31%P75: 3.34%P95: 5.83%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:46 AM · ESS 18.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.