Insights / us
TYL
Tyler Technologies, Inc.US05/18/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.11%
P05–P95 span
13.01%
Neighbors
26
Sharpness
0.74
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-7.51%
Outer 90%
3/10(30%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.85%P25: -0.81%P50: 1.11%P75: 3.99%P95: 8.17%
Computed at: 05/19/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 25.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.