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TXT
Textron Inc.US06/08/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.26%
P05–P95 span
11.00%
Neighbors
34
Sharpness
0.78
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
2 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+2
+1.97%
Outer 90%
2/2(100%)
Middle 50%
1/2(50%)
Above median
1/2(50%)
Below median
1/2(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.20%P25: -1.21%P50: 0.26%P75: 2.02%P95: 7.80%
Computed at: 06/09/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 33.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.