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TXT
Textron Inc.US05/27/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.05%
P05–P95 span
10.23%
Neighbors
26
Sharpness
0.80
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+1.50%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
8/10(80%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.56%P25: -1.35%P50: -0.05%P75: 1.32%P95: 4.67%
Computed at: 05/28/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 25.2 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.