TXN

Texas Instruments IncorporatedUS05/20/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+0.65%
P05–P95 span
11.00%
Neighbors
35
Sharpness
0.78
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-5.26%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -5.23%P25: -1.54%P50: 0.65%P75: 2.55%P95: 5.77%

Computed at: 05/21/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 34.7 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.