Insights / us
TXN
Texas Instruments IncorporatedUS04/30/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.78%
P05–P95 span
18.96%
Neighbors
27
Sharpness
0.62
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+8.63%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.45%P25: -0.77%P50: 0.78%P75: 3.01%P95: 9.51%
Computed at: 05/01/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 26.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.