TTD

The Trade Desk, Inc.US06/07/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move

+1.85%

P05–P95 span

26.29%

Neighbors

Sharpness

0.47

Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)

3 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices

Realized @ D+3

-3.45%

Outer 90%

3/3(100%)

Middle 50%

0/3(0%)

Above median

1/3(33%)

Below median

2/3(67%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -4.81%P25: -0.01%P50: 1.85%P75: 3.95%P95: 21.48%

Computed at: 06/08/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 18.4 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.