Insights / us
TTD
The Trade Desk, Inc.US06/02/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.23%
P05–P95 span
20.87%
Neighbors
31
Sharpness
0.58
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
6 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+6
-10.00%
Outer 90%
6/6(100%)
Middle 50%
1/6(17%)
Above median
0/6(0%)
Below median
6/6(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -14.81%P25: -2.03%P50: -0.23%P75: 2.71%P95: 6.06%
Computed at: 06/03/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 30.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.