Insights / us
TSN
Tyson Foods, Inc.US05/31/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.08%
P05–P95 span
11.77%
Neighbors
11
Sharpness
0.76
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
8 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+8
-7.68%
Outer 90%
5/8(63%)
Middle 50%
1/8(13%)
Above median
0/8(0%)
Below median
8/8(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.35%P25: -3.21%P50: -0.08%P75: 1.99%P95: 3.42%
Computed at: 06/01/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 10.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.