Insights / us
TSCO
Tractor Supply CompanyUS06/07/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.30%
P05–P95 span
13.08%
Neighbors
25
Sharpness
0.74
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
3 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+3
+6.47%
Outer 90%
2/3(67%)
Middle 50%
0/3(0%)
Above median
3/3(100%)
Below median
0/3(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.10%P25: -1.55%P50: -0.30%P75: 2.34%P95: 6.98%
Computed at: 06/08/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 24.1 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.