TSCO

Tractor Supply CompanyUS06/02/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move

+0.03%

P05–P95 span

10.95%

Neighbors

Sharpness

0.78

Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)

6 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices

Realized @ D+6

+4.83%

Outer 90%

6/6(100%)

Middle 50%

3/6(50%)

Above median

4/6(67%)

Below median

2/6(33%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -5.34%P25: -1.42%P50: 0.03%P75: 1.69%P95: 5.60%

Computed at: 06/03/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 27.6 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.