Insights / us
TSCO
Tractor Supply CompanyUS05/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.03%
P05–P95 span
10.35%
Neighbors
33
Sharpness
0.79
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
9 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+9
+1.17%
Outer 90%
7/9(78%)
Middle 50%
2/9(22%)
Above median
1/9(11%)
Below median
8/9(89%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.03%P25: -1.68%P50: 0.03%P75: 2.06%P95: 6.32%
Computed at: 05/29/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 32.4 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.