TSCO

Tractor Supply CompanyUS05/21/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move

-0.08%

P05–P95 span

9.16%

Neighbors

Sharpness

0.82

Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)

10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices

Realized @ D+10

-3.82%

Outer 90%

5/10(50%)

Middle 50%

2/10(20%)

Above median

3/10(30%)

Below median

7/10(70%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -3.94%P25: -1.39%P50: -0.08%P75: 1.57%P95: 5.22%

Computed at: 05/22/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 21.8 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.