TSCO

Tractor Supply CompanyUS05/17/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move

-0.57%

P05–P95 span

11.66%

Neighbors

Sharpness

0.77

Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)

10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices

Realized @ D+10

-1.55%

Outer 90%

5/10(50%)

Middle 50%

3/10(30%)

Above median

8/10(80%)

Below median

2/10(20%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -9.81%P25: -3.70%P50: -0.57%P75: 0.70%P95: 1.85%

Computed at: 05/18/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 18.4 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.