Insights / us
TSCO
Tractor Supply CompanyUS04/27/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.22%
P05–P95 span
11.82%
Neighbors
17
Sharpness
0.76
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-15.10%
Outer 90%
3/10(30%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.93%P25: -2.04%P50: 0.22%P75: 2.26%P95: 6.89%
Computed at: 04/28/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 16.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.