Insights / us
TROW
T. Rowe Price Group, Inc.US06/04/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.66%
P05–P95 span
13.62%
Neighbors
37
Sharpness
0.73
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
4 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+4
+1.64%
Outer 90%
4/4(100%)
Middle 50%
3/4(75%)
Above median
2/4(50%)
Below median
2/4(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.77%P25: -1.83%P50: 0.66%P75: 2.09%P95: 6.84%
Computed at: 06/05/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 36.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.