Insights / us
TROW
T. Rowe Price Group, Inc.US06/01/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.01%
P05–P95 span
12.01%
Neighbors
21
Sharpness
0.76
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
7 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+7
+3.87%
Outer 90%
7/7(100%)
Middle 50%
5/7(71%)
Above median
5/7(71%)
Below median
2/7(29%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.89%P25: -1.26%P50: 1.01%P75: 4.02%P95: 8.12%
Computed at: 06/02/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 20.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.