Insights / us
TROW
T. Rowe Price Group, Inc.US05/21/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.09%
P05–P95 span
9.41%
Neighbors
33
Sharpness
0.81
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+2.83%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.07%P25: -1.22%P50: 0.09%P75: 1.38%P95: 5.34%
Computed at: 05/22/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 32.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.