Insights / us
TROW
T. Rowe Price Group, Inc.US05/19/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.54%
P05–P95 span
16.85%
Neighbors
30
Sharpness
0.66
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+4.95%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
8/10(80%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.27%P25: -1.27%P50: 0.54%P75: 3.22%P95: 12.58%
Computed at: 05/20/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 29.3 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.