Insights / us
TRGP
Targa Resources Corp.US04/12/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-3.92%
P05–P95 span
24.64%
Neighbors
25
Sharpness
0.51
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-1.43%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
7/10(70%)
Below median
3/10(30%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -19.74%P25: -8.28%P50: -3.92%P75: -1.53%P95: 4.91%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:46 AM · ESS 24.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.