Insights / us
TPR
Tapestry, Inc.US05/21/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.99%
P05–P95 span
11.18%
Neighbors
19
Sharpness
0.78
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+0.56%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.21%P25: -0.64%P50: 0.99%P75: 2.62%P95: 5.97%
Computed at: 05/22/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 18.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.